According to Steven Dick, there's a more than 50% chance that they are already there, ignoring us in their virtual worlds as we toil down here on our pile of mud.
I tend to disagree and like to think that on matters of such unknowable scale that my guess is as good as anyone else's. Someone has to win the lottery, be the first, be the only, and we've already beaten astronomical odds to be here at all, let alone at the stage where a technological singularity looms large within our lifetime or the next.
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